Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Sicko, Plus Ups and Downs

The last week of 2007 was a total bust. I couldn't even play, or rather I chose not to play while I was ill. I had a terrible cold and I just don't like going out to play if I can't play my "A" game.

Around January 3rd I finally felt well enough to play again, but didn't think I was ready for no-limit play again yet. So, I jumped back into the world of Omaha 8. In November I had posted some solid wins in the game and I was curious to see if I could keep the ball rolling. I did indeed post 3 more wins and was up about $700 after some short sessions. But instead of using those sessions as a warmup to a return to hold em, I continued to play daily, thinking that I should now go with where I'm winning.

How soon I forget the lessons of the past! Omaha is a high-variance game. I know it. And I've proved it to myself already. Apparently I've been determined to prove it to myself again. I gave back my win for the month and more. My play didn't change, but when I got down in the game I increased my session length trying to get it back, digging a little deeper.

So... the question arises. What to do? Get out and get back to hold em seems the obvious choice. A part of me doesn't like to end the Omaha play in defeat. If I started on a swing up, and then swang down, shouldn't I stick around to swing up again? It is a swingy game, after all. But if hold em is less swingy (and it has been for me) shouldn't I just get back to generating income? The answer is probably yes. I'll be thinking about this some more.